TY - JOUR
T1 - Indigenous Australian population projections
T2 - Problems and prospects
AU - Biddle, Nicholas
AU - Wilson, T.
PY - 2013
Y1 - 2013
N2 - According to estimates from the 2006 Census, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander (Indigenous) Australians made up 2.5 % of the total Australian population. However, the focus of research and policy debate on Indigenous Australians far exceeds their population size for reasons of history, socio-economics, geography and demography. This has led to a need for accurate population projections of the population. In this paper, we outline a number of issues related to Indigenous population projections. These include the nature of self-identification; the impact of particular policy changes; significant differences in demographic parameters; and high rates of exogamy, especially in urban areas. We also document the relative accuracy of past and current population projections. In the final section of the paper we outline a research agenda that has the potential to lead to new and better Indigenous population projections.
AB - According to estimates from the 2006 Census, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander (Indigenous) Australians made up 2.5 % of the total Australian population. However, the focus of research and policy debate on Indigenous Australians far exceeds their population size for reasons of history, socio-economics, geography and demography. This has led to a need for accurate population projections of the population. In this paper, we outline a number of issues related to Indigenous population projections. These include the nature of self-identification; the impact of particular policy changes; significant differences in demographic parameters; and high rates of exogamy, especially in urban areas. We also document the relative accuracy of past and current population projections. In the final section of the paper we outline a research agenda that has the potential to lead to new and better Indigenous population projections.
KW - accuracy assessment
KW - demographic trend
KW - parameterization
KW - policy reform
KW - population estimation
KW - population size
KW - population structure
KW - urban area, Australia
UR - https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84878897820&doi=10.1007%2fs12546-013-9104-2&partnerID=40&md5=9c9694cb4dc1bf45da3361cd40511cb5
U2 - 10.1007/s12546-013-9104-2
DO - 10.1007/s12546-013-9104-2
M3 - Article
VL - 30
SP - 101
EP - 116
JO - Journal of Population Research
JF - Journal of Population Research
SN - 1443-2447
IS - 2
ER -