TY - JOUR
T1 - The effect of high temperatures on risk of hospitalization in northern Vietnam
AU - Talukder, Mohammad Radwanur
AU - Chu, Cordia
AU - Rutherford, Shannon
AU - Huang, Cunrui
AU - Phung, Dung
N1 - Funding Information:
DP was supported by the Research Start-up Fund of School of Medicine, Griffith University.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.
Copyright:
Copyright 2021 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
PY - 2022/2
Y1 - 2022/2
N2 - Vietnam is one Southeast Asian country most vulnerable to climate change. By the end of the twenty-first century, temperature could rise above 5°C across Vietnam according to the IPCC highest emission pathway scenario. However, research on the temperature-health effects from the geographically diverse sub-tropical northern region of Vietnam is limited making location specific health system preparedness difficult. This study examines the elevated temperature-hospitalization relationship for the seven provinces in northern Vietnam by using generalized linear and distributed lag models. A random-effect meta-analysis was used to estimate the pooled temperature hospitalizations risks for all causes, and for infectious, cardiovascular, and respiratory diseases. The pooled estimates show a significant effect of high temperature on hospitalizations for the same day (lag 0), when a 1°C increase in temperature above 24°C was significantly associated with 1.1% (95% CI, 0.9–1.4%) increased risk for all-cause hospital admissions, 2.4% (95% CI, 1.9–2.9%) increased risk for infectious disease admissions, 0.5% (95% CI, 0.1–0.9%) increased risk for cardiovascular disease admissions, and 1.3% (95% CI, 0.9–1.6%) increased risk for respiratory disease admissions. This research adds to the scant evidence examining heat and health morbidity effects in sub-tropical climates and has important implications for better understanding and preparing for the future impacts of climate change related temperature on Vietnam residents.
AB - Vietnam is one Southeast Asian country most vulnerable to climate change. By the end of the twenty-first century, temperature could rise above 5°C across Vietnam according to the IPCC highest emission pathway scenario. However, research on the temperature-health effects from the geographically diverse sub-tropical northern region of Vietnam is limited making location specific health system preparedness difficult. This study examines the elevated temperature-hospitalization relationship for the seven provinces in northern Vietnam by using generalized linear and distributed lag models. A random-effect meta-analysis was used to estimate the pooled temperature hospitalizations risks for all causes, and for infectious, cardiovascular, and respiratory diseases. The pooled estimates show a significant effect of high temperature on hospitalizations for the same day (lag 0), when a 1°C increase in temperature above 24°C was significantly associated with 1.1% (95% CI, 0.9–1.4%) increased risk for all-cause hospital admissions, 2.4% (95% CI, 1.9–2.9%) increased risk for infectious disease admissions, 0.5% (95% CI, 0.1–0.9%) increased risk for cardiovascular disease admissions, and 1.3% (95% CI, 0.9–1.6%) increased risk for respiratory disease admissions. This research adds to the scant evidence examining heat and health morbidity effects in sub-tropical climates and has important implications for better understanding and preparing for the future impacts of climate change related temperature on Vietnam residents.
KW - Climate change
KW - Hospitalization
KW - Morbidity
KW - Temperature
KW - Vietnam
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85116248237&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1007/s11356-021-16601-8
DO - 10.1007/s11356-021-16601-8
M3 - Article
C2 - 34561800
AN - SCOPUS:85116248237
VL - 29
SP - 12128
EP - 12135
JO - Environmental Science and Pollution Research
JF - Environmental Science and Pollution Research
SN - 0944-1344
IS - 8
ER -